Turn questions about the future into calibrated predictions.
Evidence-backed. Measurable. Continuously improving from real outcomes.
- 1Ask any forecastable question
Finance, sports, macro, geopolitics, energy, law, health, climate, tech, supply chain, science, or general — one engine, twelve domain packs.
- 2Evidence + hypotheses
POE1 retrieves real-world data, generates competing scenarios, and audits the leader with a 5-analyst panel.
- 3Calibrated prediction
Returns probability, confidence, alternatives, evidence, contradictions, and missing information — then learns from outcomes.
Sports Lab is one application of the POE1 forecasting platform — the same engine powers every domain.
Will the Fed cut rates in the next 3 months?
Hold rates — no cut within 90 days
Recent CPI prints remain above target and labor data has not weakened enough to trigger a cut. Two competing hypotheses considered; evidence from rate-decision precedents and macro indicators favors a hold.
Every answer carries an honest probability and confidence level.
See competing outcomes and the drivers behind each one.
Sources and signals you can inspect — never opaque guesses.